User:Eric Martz/AlphaFold3 case studies

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This page is under construction. This notice will be removed when it is completed. Eric Martz 02:03, 13 November 2024 (UTC)

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AlphaFold3 Example 8AW3

Summary: This is one of three examples featured in the AlphaFold3 Server. AlphaFold3 predicted the fold of the mid-341 residues of tRNA A34 deaminase (UniProt Q381Q7) accurately, when compared to the empirical model in 8aw3. It made no confident predictions for what appear to be 90 residues in two disordered loops, and a 25-residue disordered C terminus. In contrast, the prediction from the AlphaFold2 Database was bent relative to the empirical model, but otherwise largely accurate.

UniProt Q381Q7 (tRNA A34 deaminase) is the longest chain in the example 8aw3 provided by the AlphaFold3 Server. In 8aw3, its chain name is "3". 8aw3 is a cryo-EM structure with resolution 3.6 Å. 8aw3 indicates that the experimental material included full-length chain 3 of 369 residues, but 28 end-residues lack coordinates, so the coordinates run from UniProt 4-344, length 341. Within this range, there are two loops lacking coordinates of lengths 49 and 13, leaving 279 amino acids with coordinates. Neither missing loop is predicted to be disordered at UniProt, although the estimated disorder propensity is high for both.

Q381Q7: AlphaFold3 vs Empirical Structure

The overall 4-chain prediction (for the complex in 8aw3) has pTM of 0.75, at the low end of the range 0.7-0.9 deemed "confident" by the server. Both of the missing loops have "no-confidence" (red) coordinates. The longer one is modeled as a large circle protruding from the surface of the protein, typical for loops with intrinsic disorder. The average pLDDT for chain 3 is 68 (weak confidence), but with the large disordered loop removed, this increases to 74[1].

The AlphaFold3 prediction superposes (FATCAT rigid) with all 279 alpha carbons of chain 3 of 8aw3 with RMSD 2.2 Å. The morph shows the largest discrepancy in the red (no confidence) loop at center bottom, which has sequence SNSGCRKSNR (238-247 in the numbering of both UniProt and 8aw3). These residues have coordinates in 8aw3, but 3 residues, CRK, have incomplete sidechains.

Image:Q38107-af3.png

Image:Af3-vs-8aw3-3-fatcat-rigid.gif

AlphaFold3 prediction for Q38107. pLDDT > 70 is confident.

FATCAT morph between AlphaFold3 prediction and chain 3 of 8aw3.

Q381Q7: AlphaFold3 vs AlphaFold2 Database

The long disordered loop was in different positions in the AlphaFold3 vs. AlphaFold2 Database models. When it was included, FATCAT superposed it between models, causing the RMSD to be 4.8-4.9 Å (rigid or flexible superposition).

Deleting that loop (57-108) from the models resulted in a much better flexible superposition RMSD value of 2.0 Å for 312 alpha carbons (98% of the 317 present). This close superposition required flexibility. The rigid FATCAT superposition still had RMSD 4.5 Å. The morph shows bending and twisting between the two models.

Since the AlphaFold2 Database prediction is bent/twisted relative to the AlphaFold3 prediction, and since the latter superposes well with the empirical model in a rigid superposition, the AlphaFold2 Database prediction should not superpose as well with the empirical model in a rigid superposition. Indeed, the rigid superposition has RMSD 4.1 Å for 270 (of 279) alpha carbons (morph not shown). (Flexible superposition achieved RMSD 2.4 Å.)

Image:Q381q7-af3-vs-af2.gif

FATCAT morph between AlphaFold3 prediction and AlphaFold2 Database prediction for Q381Q7.

8JRP Chain A: Partially Untemplated

AlphaFold3 Server FAQ says that when empirical templates exist in the wwPDB, they will be used unconditionally, adding that “… the server searches PDB for template structures with a cutoff date of 30th September 2021 …”.

According to this, the N-terminal half of chain A of 8jrp[2] (120-519) should be untemplated, since a sequence search at RCSB finds no matching entries prior to 2023. Being untemplated should make structure prediction more challenging. Of course, a structure need not be sequence-identical to serve as a template. A search for similar chain structures finds no good matches (top hits "not significantly similar" according to FATCAT), consistent with this N-terminal half being untemplated. The C-terminal half (520-869) is templated by 2 entries, e.g. 1c4z[3], a 1999 X-ray 2.6 Å resolution structure.

Image:8jrp-chain-a-untemplated-orange.gif

Chain A of 8jrp: putatively untemplated half, templated half.

Missing/disordered

N-terminal residues 1-119, missing in 8jrp, are predicted to be partially disordered. Loop 170-230, missing from 8jrp, is predicted to be disordered at RCSB. Sequence range 388-424 is predicted to be disordered, but has coordinates in 8jrp.

Image:8jrn-rcsb-equence-disorder-labeled.png

RCSB sequence graphic (simplified) for chain A of 8jrp. Gray bars are missing residues. *Brown bars are residues missing atoms in their sidechains.

AlphaFold 3 prediction

Chain A in 8jrp is human ubiquitin-protein ligase E3A. The full-length sequence, Q05086, has 875 amino acids. The 3.6 Å resolution cryo-EM structure indicates that the full-length protein was imaged, but the N-terminal end of the model lacks coordinates for 119 residues. The ends of the model are sequence numbers 120 and 869 (length 750), but one loop of length 61 (170-230) is missing coordinates, leaving 689 amino acids with coordinates. Conveniently, the sequence numbers in UniProt and 8jrp are the same.

Image:8jrp-chain-a-rainbow.gif

Image:Q05086-af3-120-875.gif

Image:8jrp.a-vs-af3-fatcat.gif

Chain A of 8jrp. Missing ends and loops shown as "empty baskets" by FirstGlance in Jmol. Image:N2C-rainbow-key.jpg

AlphaFold3 prediction for Q05086[4]. pLDDT > 70 is confident.

Morph of FATCAT rigid superposition between AlphaFold3 prediction and chain A of 8jrp, RMSD 2.1 Å.

AlphaFold3 was unable to predict with confidence the loop 170-230 (length 61) missing in 8jrp, and predicted to be disordered. The average pLDDT for the predicted loop was 40.2 (no confidence). Similarly, the N-terminal residues 1-119 missing from 8jrp were predicted with average pLDDT of 55.5 (no confidence). The 27-residue loop 397-423, predicted to be disordered but with coordinates in 8jrp, appears red in the predicted model with average pLDDT 47.1 (no confidence). In contrast, the average pLDDT for the residues having coordinates in 8jrp (120-169, 231-869) is 86.1 (high confidence).

The AlphaFold3 prediction superposed 688/689 alpha carbons onto chain A of 8jrp with RMSD 2.1 Å. Thus, the prediction is very close to the empirical model. The above morph shows that the largest discrepancy between the prediction and the empirical model occurred in the 27-residue loop 397-423, predicted to be disordered. These residues have coordinates in 8jrp, and the EM density map shows strong evidence for their positioning in the empirical model.

EM density for residues 388-424 in 8jrp.

Image:8jrp-emdensity-388-424.png

Templated vs. Untemplated

The apparently untemplated coordinates in chain A of 8jrp are 120-519. This range is missing coordinates for the 61-residue disordered loop. After removing coordinates for the 37-residue loop that is predicted to be disordered, but which has coordinates, there are 302 residues remaining. Superimposing these 302 alpha carbons with the AlphaFold3 prediction gave RMSD 0.9 Å. Thus, the prediction for the putatively untemplated half was excellent.

The templated coordinates are 520-869, length 350. Superposition gave RMSD 1.3 Å. In conclusion, the putatively untemplated half was predicted as well as the templated half.

Five AlphaFold3 models

The AlphaFold3 server delivers five models. In this instance, four all have pTM 0.77, and one (model_3.cif) had pTM 0.76. Superposing the latter with the empirical model gave RMSD 2.1 Å for all 689 alpha carbons in the empirical model. This is the same RMSD as obtained with the "top" model (model_0.cif). In conclusion, there was no significant difference between the abilities of these two of the five models to superpose with the empirical model.

AlphaFold2 Database prediction

A rigid superposition of the AlphaFold2 Database prediction for Q05086 with chain A of 8jrp gave RMSD 3.0 Å. The main discrepancy, aside from that expected for the loop 397-423 (red, no confidence), was rotation of the C-terminal domain. Yet when submitted allowing twists, no improvement occurred. In conclusion, the AlphaFold3 prediction was better than the AlphaFold2 prediction.

1a0r: Three Sequence-Distinct Chains

Empirical Model 1a0r

1a0r is an assembly of three sequence-distinct chains, and a highly inter-dependent structure. It was published in 1998 as an X-ray structure with resolution 2.8 Å.

  • Chain B, transducin beta, length 339, forms a compact seven-bladed beta-propeller, with the exception of its 48-residue N-terminus, which forms a helix wrapping against the beta-propeller.
  • Chain G, transducin gamma, length 65 (of 74), is partially helical, and wraps around the beta-propeller, without any compact domain of its own. It pairs with the N-terminus of chain B.
  • Chain P, phosducin, length 245, forms a compact alpha/beta domain with its C-terminal 123 residues. Its ~95-residue N-terminus, partially helical, wraps against the beta-propeller, without contacting chain G or the N-terminus of chain B. This is the only chain with missing residues: 12 at the N terminus, a loop of 30 (38-67), and 15 at the C terminus. All missing residues are predicted to be in disordered segments:

Image:1a0r-chain-p-disorder-vs-unmodeled-.png
Simplified sequence annotations from RCSB.org.

Image:1a0r-fgij.gif

AlphaFold3 Prediction for 1a0r

The three sequences were submitted to AlphaFold3 as a single job. The job is templated, since 1a0r was published in 1998. There are a total of 592 amino acids in 1a0r. AlphaFold3 filled in the 57 missing residues, making a total of 649.

For the AlphaFold3 prediction, pTM was 0.86, and iPTM was 091, indicating good confidence overall. As expected, the disordered ends and loop were predicted with no confidence (red). Average pLDDT for alpha carbons (obtained with FirstGlance:
Key: <50, no confidence; 50-70 low confidence, caution; 70-90: confident; >90: high confidence.

  • 88.4 for the 3-chain assembly
  • 95.8 for transducin beta, length 340
  • 90.4 for transducin gamma, length 65
  • 77.6 for phosducin, length 245 (including disordered regions)
    • 88.0 without disordered regions (sequence ranges 13-37, 68-230)
    • 30.8 for disordered ends (27 residues)
    • 54.6 for the disordered loop (30 residues)

Since FATCAT superposes only pairs of chains, superposition of the 3-chain assemblies was done in PyMOL, which gave RMSD 1.8 Å for 522 (88%) of 592 alpha carbons. Optimally, after iterative rejection of the most separated atom pairs, 375 alpha carbons (63% of 592) superposed with RMSD 0.63 Å. Pairs of individual chains:

  • Chain B: 337 (99%) of 339 alpha carbons superposed with RMSD 1.0 Å.
  • Chain G: 61 (94%) of 65 alpha carbons superposed with RMSD 0.5 Å.
  • Chain P: 184 (98%) of 188 alpha carbons superposed with RMSD 1.8 Å.

Superpositions with ChimeraX gave similar RMSD values (see Summary).

Image:Af3-chains-in-1a0r-licorice.gif

Image:1a0r-vs-af3-morph-licorice-far.gif

AlphaFold3 prediction for the 3 chains in 1a0r. pLDDT >70 is confident.

ChimeraX morph between 1a0r and the AlphaFold3 prediction. Farnesyl ligand (GRAY SPHERES) was not available in AlphaFold3. Its absence accounts for the largest differences.

Superposition RMSD Summary

Each superposition in this table is discussed above.

Model 1

Model 2

Superposition RMSD (Superposed αC/Total αC)

FATCAT Rigid

FATCAT Flexible

PyMOLb

ChimeraXc

8aw3 chain 3 tRNA deaminase

AF3 Q381Q7

2.2 Å (all 279)

8aw3 chain 3 tRNA deaminase

AF2 DB Q381Q7

4.1 Å (270/279)

2.4 Å

AF3 Q381Q7a

AF2 DB Q381Q7a

4.5 Å

2.0 Å (312/317)

8jrp chain A ubiquitin ligase

AF3 Q05086

2.1 Å (688/689)

1.9 Å (636/689, 92%)
1.0 Å (540/689, 78%)

8jrp chain A ubiquitin ligase

AF3 Q05086 Model 3

2.1 Å (all 689)

8jrp chain A 120-519 untemplated?

AF3 Q05086

0.9 Å (all 302)

8jrp chain A 520-869 templated

AF3 Q05086

1.3 Å (all 350)

8jrp chain A ubiquitin ligase

AF2 DB Q05086

3.0 Å

(no improvement)

1a0r 3-chain assembly

AF3 P62871 + P02698 +
P19632

1.8 Å (522/592, 88%)
0.63 Å (375/592, 63%)

1.6 Å (all 592)
0.8 Å (482/592, 81%)
0.5 Å (379/592, 64%)

AF3 = AlphaFold3 Server. Model 0 (best of five, 0-4) was used unless otherwise noted.
AF2 DB = AlphaFold2 DataBase
Note a: Disordered loop 57-108 deleted from both models.
Note b: PyMOL super command, limited to alpha carbons, e.g. super empirical////ca, af3////ca.
Note c: ChimeraX Tools, Structure Analysis, MatchMaker. Default "pruning" eliminated pairs farther than 2.0 Å apart. Also did a cutoff of 1.0 Å.

Methods

These case studies of predictions by the AlphaFold3 Server were done in November 2024. At that time, the AlphaFold Database had been generated with AlphaFold2. Superpositions and RMSD values for pairs of chains were obtained from FATCAT. Superpositions and RMSD values for multiple-chain assemblies were obtained from PyMOL with its super command using default settings, and/or with ChimeraX using its Tools, Structure Analysis, MatchMaker, since FATCAT and the RCSB Superposition utility are limited to pairs of chains. Rocking animations were generated by FirstGlance in Jmol, and morphs were captured from FATCAT. pLDDT averages for specified sequence ranges were obtained using FirstGlance in Jmol, after converting predicted .cif files to .pdb format.

See Also

Notes

  1. Average pLDDT values were obtained with FirstGlance in Jmol, which reports the minimum, average, and maximum in the upper right as "Reliability".
  2. 8jrp was chosen despite its poor resolution of 3.6 Å because the better-resolution 8jrn, 2.6 Å, is not available in PDB format. A rigid superposition by FATCAT matched all 689 residues with coordinates, giving RMSD 0.7 Å, a near perfect match.
  3. A FATCAT rigid superposition of 8jrp chain A with 1cz4 chain C shows a twist between the two domains. A FATCAT flexible superposition with one twist gives RMSD 1.3 Å for all 350 alpha carbons. Thus, 1c4z would be an excellent template for predicting the C-terminal half of 8jrp chain A.
  4. Predictions were done for the full length Q05086 sequence (shown above), and with 1-119 removed. Rigid FATCAT superposition between the two predictions (only the 689 alpha carbons present in 8jrp) gave RMSD 1.4 Å. Thus, inclusion of 1-119 had little if any effect on the prediction of the remainder of the structure.

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Eric Martz

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